Trade in the 2008 Senate Races: Incumbents with safe seats

I've been looking at the impact of the 2008 Senate elections on support for liberal trading rules in the next Congress.  I had hoped to look at trade rhetoric in all this year's Senate races, but I've fallen behind on this project. 

To help catch up, I'll just scoot over incumbents with safe seats.  The first list below shows incumbents with comfortable or big leads.  A "Big" lead is more than 15%, a "Comfortable" lead is 10% to 15%.  Percentages were taken from Pollster.com on October 19, 2008. 

The second list has races where an incumbent will be replaced, or an incumbent doesn't have a comfortable lead.  From now on I'll focus on preparing posts on these latter races.

1. Alabama: Republican Jeff Sessions has a big lead over Democratic challenger Vivian Davis Figures (Pollster.com)
2. Arkansas.  Democrat Mark Pryor only has third party opposition for this seat.  No polling data available from Pollster.com.
3. Delaware.  Democrat Joe Biden has a big lead over Republican challenger Christine O'Donnell (Pollster.com).  This race is covered in more detail here: Delaware.  This seat is almost certain to open up given the lead Obama-Biden have in the Presidential race.  So this seat may still change its trade status after the general election.
4. Illinois.  Democrat Dick Durbin has a big lead over Republican challenger Steve Sauerberg (Pollster.com)
5. Iowa.  Democrat Tom Harkin has a big lead over Republican challenger Christopher Reed (Pollster.com).
6. Kansas: Republican Pat Roberts has a big lead over Democratic challenger Jim Slattery (pollster.com)
7. Louisiana.  Democrat Mary Landreau has a big lead over Republican challenger John Kennedy (Pollster.com).
8. Maine.  Republican Susan Collins has a comfortable lead over her Democratic challenger Tom Allen (Pollster.com).  Also covered here: Maine.
9. Massachusetts: Democrat John Kerry has a big lead over Republican challenger Jeff Beatty (Pollster.com).
10. Michigan.  Democrat Carl Levin has a big lead over Republican challenger Jack Hoogendyk (pollster.com)
    
11. Mississippi.  Republican Thad Cochran has a big lead over Democratic challenger Erik Fleming (Pollster.com)
12. Montana: Democrat Max Baucus has a big lead over Republican challenger Bob Kelleher (Pollster.com).  This race is covered in more detail here:Montana.
13. New Jersey: Democract Frank Lautenberg has a comfortable lead over Republican challenger Dick Zimmer (Pollster.com)
14. Oklahoma: Republican Jim Inhofe has a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Andrew Rice (Pollster.com).  Rice has been narrowing the lead.
15. Rhode Island: Democract Jack Reed has a big lead over Republican Bob Tingle (Pollster.com).
16. South Carolina: Republican Lindsey Graham has a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Bob Conley (Pollster.com).  Conley has been closing the gap since August.
17. South Dakota: Democrat Tim Johnson has a big lead over Republican Joel Dykstra (Pollster.com)
18. Tennessee: Republican Lamar Alexander has a big lead over Democratic challenger Bob Tuke (Pollster.com)
19. West Virginia.  Democrat Jay Rockefeller has a big lead over Republican Jay Wolfe (Pollster.com)
20. Wyoming: Republican Mike Enzi has big lead over Democratic challenger Chris Rothfuss (Pollster.com).
21. Wyoming: Republican John Barossa (appointed to the seat in June 2007) has a big lead over Democratic challenger Nick Carter (Pollster.com)

This leaves these races for more detailed treatment:

1. Alaska: Stevens v Begich.  Republican incumbent Ted Stevens is in a tight race with the Mayor of Anchorage, Alaska's largest city (Pollster.com).  This race has been treated here: Alaska.
2. Colorado: Democrat Mark Udall is leading Republican Bob Schaffer in this fight for the seat held by retiring Senator Wayne Allard (Pollster.com).  This race is covered in more detail here: Colorado.
3. Georgia: Republican incumbant Saxby Chambliss is running neck and neck with Democratic challenger Jim Martin (Pollster.com).  The dynamics of the race have been going Martin's way.
4. Idaho:Republican Jim Risch is running well ahead of Democrat Larry LaRocca (Pollster.com).  This race is covered here: Idaho.
5. Kentucky: Republican incumbent Mitch McConnell is running ahead of Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford (Pollster.com) but the race is tightening.
6. Minnesota: Democratic challenger Al Franken has recently taken the lead over Republican incumbent Norm Coleman (Pollster.com) in this tight race.  This race is covered in more detail here: Minnesota.
7. Mississippi: Republican incumbent Roger Wicker is defending his seat against Democratic challenger Ronnie Musgrove.  This is very close and Musgrove has been gaining (Pollster.com).  This is covered in more detail here: Mississippi. 
8. Nebraska: Republican Mike Johanns has a big lead over Democrat Scott Kleeb in this fight for the seat of retiring Senator Chuck Hagel (Pollster.com).  This race is covered in detail here: Nebraska.
9. New Hampshire: Republican incumbent John Sununu is running behind challenger and former Democratic governor Jeanne Shaheen (Pollster.com).  Covered in more detail here: New Hampshire.
10. New Mexico: Democrat Tom Udall has a big lead over Republican Steve Pearce in this fight for the seat of retiring Senator Pete Domenici (Pollster.com)
11. North Carolina: Republican incumbent Elizabeth Dole is running behind Democratic challenger Kay Hagan (Pollster.com).  This race is covered in more detail here: North Carolina.
12. Oregon: Republican incumbent Gordon Smith is running behind Democratic challenger Jeff Merkley (Pollster.com).  This race has been treated here: Oregon.
13. Texas: Republican incumbent John Cornyn has a lead over Democratic challenger Rick Noriega (Pollster.com)
14. Virginia:Democrat Mark Warner has a big lead over Republican Jim Gilmore in this fight for the seat of retiring Democrat John Warner (Pollster.com)